Financial Decision Cockpit

Ecom-KA3

Customer deep-dive · Jun 2026 · Tier 2 · Corrugated Cases

Sales Head skill
Jun 2026

This week, Ecom-KA3 ran at 96% of plan — a RMB 2M revenue shortfall — with ASP -1.0% QoQ and OTIF 96.0% (2 late). The biggest risk is 2 qualification(s) at risk — RMB 57M/yr exposed1, driven by drop-test certification pending - customer lab backlog. Next, ASP -1.0% QoQ2, driven by price-down pressure outpacing premium mix shift. Next, Defect 101 PPM3, driven by process capability drift at supplying site. Focus next on recover rightsize mailer-s8 to protect ramp window.

  • OTIF up +0.4pp to 96.0%
  • Satisfaction down -0.2 to 4.2/5
  • FG inventory built 4 days to 24 DOH
  • 2 qualification(s) flagged at risk — RMB 57M/yr exposed
  1. P1Recover RightSize Mailer-S8 (Drop-test certification pending - customer lab backlog)Open
    Owner:Due:Impact:
    Why:NPI statusDELAYEDRevenue at riskRMB 35M/yr
  2. P1Recover LightWall Gen3-S12 (Edge crush 4.2 kN/m vs KA3 requirement >4.8 kN/m)Open
    Owner:Due:Impact:
    Why:NPI statusAT RISKRevenue at riskRMB 22M/yr
  3. P2Lift OTIF to 97% — 2 late shipment(s) to clearOpen
    Owner:Due:Impact:
    Why:OTIF96.0%Late shipments2
  4. P3Reduce DSO — collect on RMB 85M AROpen
    Owner:Due:Impact:
    Why:DSO51 dAR balanceRMB 85M

Week-over-Week Movement

3 improved2 worsened· Jun 2026 vs May 2026
Attainment-0.2pp
96%
from 96% last week
Revenue+3M
RMB 50M
from RMB 47M last week
ASP QoQ+0.4pp
-1.0%
from -1.4% last week
OTIF+0.4pp
96.0%
from 95.6% last week
Open complaintsno change
1
from 1 last week
FG inventory+4d
24d
from 20d last week

Biggest Drivers

  • 2 qualification(s) at risk — RMB 57M/yr exposed — Drop-test certification pending - customer lab backlog
  • ASP -1.0% QoQ — Price-down pressure outpacing premium mix shift
  • Defect 101 PPM — Process capability drift at supplying site

Automated Risk Signals

3 flags · worst-first
NPIMISS

2 qualification(s) at risk — RMB 57M/yr exposed

Driver: Drop-test certification pending - customer lab backlog

Focus: Recover RightSize Mailer-S8 to protect ramp window

PricingAT RISK

ASP -1.0% QoQ

Driver: Price-down pressure outpacing premium mix shift

Focus: Accelerate premium qualifications to defend blended ASP

QualityAT RISK

Defect 101 PPM

Driver: Process capability drift at supplying site

Focus: Tighten SPC limits; verify incoming liner moisture

Revenue
RMB 50M
Plan RMB 52M
Attainment
96%
vs plan
ASP QoQ
-1.0%
¥3.15/m²
OTIF
96.0%
2 late
Satisfaction
4.2/5
PPM 101

Revenue: plan, actual, forecast & last year

Ecom-KA3 — monthly RMB M · actual bars turn amber/red below plan · forecast next 3 months

Commercial & Financial

Jun 2026

Revenue (actual)RMB 50Mplan RMB 52M
Attainment96%
ASP¥3.15/m²-1.0% QoQ
Share of wallet30.3%
ChannelDomesticdomestic only
FX exposureRMB 0Mexport revenue at FX risk
ContractActiveends 2027-09
AR balanceRMB 85MDSO 51 d

Fulfillment & Inventory

Jun 2026

OTIF96.0%target 96%
Late shipments2
Volume15,844 KSqMplan 16,540 KSqM
FG stock12,676 KSqM24 DOH
Aging >60d4.2%

Quality & NPI

Jun 2026

Satisfaction4.2/5
Quality PPM101
Open complaints10 crit / 0 major
Claim costRMB 0M
NPI pending10 delayed
NPI rev at riskRMB 0M

Qualification Pipeline

NPI projects & revenue at risk

ProjectProductPhaseTarget MPStatusRev at riskDelay reason
RightSize Mailer-S8Right-sized e-commerce mailerLine Trial2026-Q3DELAYEDRMB 35MDrop-test certification pending - customer lab backlog
LightWall Gen3-S12Lightweight C-flute single wallSmall Trial2026-Q4AT RISKRMB 22MEdge crush 4.2 kN/m vs KA3 requirement >4.8 kN/m
ShelfReady PDQ-S15Shelf-ready PDQ traySample2027-Q1ON TRACK

Complaint Tracker

Root cause linked to originating site

No open complaints.

4-Week Execution Plan

Weekly focus & status

WeekDatesFocus / planOwnerStatus
Week 1Jul 2026 1–7Weekly demand review & lock production allocationKevin Zhao (Account Mgr)ON TRACK
Week 2Jul 2026 8–14RightSize Mailer-S8 qualification — submit Line Trial data packageGrace Wang (NPI Lead)AT RISK
Week 3Jul 2026 15–21Inventory rebalancing — trim FG DOH to targetMia Liu (Ops Planner)ON TRACK
Week 4Jul 2026 22–28QBR prep — next-quarter forecast alignment & contract reviewKevin Zhao (Account Mgr)PLANNED

Major Milestones

Upcoming commitments

MilestoneTargetOwnerStatus
RightSize Mailer-S8 → Line Trial sign-off2026-Q3NPI LeadDELAYED
LightWall Gen3-S12 → Small Trial sign-off2026-Q4NPI LeadAT RISK
Contract renewal — Active2027-09Account ManagerON TRACK
Sep 2026 volume commit (16,540 t plan)Sep 2026Supply PlannerPLANNED

Action Plans

Prioritised for the next 4 weeks

PrioActionOwnerImpactDue
P1Recover RightSize Mailer-S8 (Drop-test certification pending - customer lab backlog)Grace Wang (NPI Lead)RMB 35M/yr at riskJul 14, 2026
P1Recover LightWall Gen3-S12 (Edge crush 4.2 kN/m vs KA3 requirement >4.8 kN/m)Grace Wang (NPI Lead)RMB 22M/yr at riskJul 14, 2026
P2Lift OTIF to 97% — 2 late shipment(s) to clearDavid Chen (Supply Planner)OTIF 96.0%Jul 14, 2026
P3Reduce DSO — collect on RMB 85M ARHelen Xu (Finance)DSO 51 dJul 28, 2026

CRM Engagement Records

Logged sales engagement · Jun 2026

  1. 2026-06-26Meeting· VP ProcurementGrace Wang

    Confirmed H2 tender cadence; volume commit review to start next month.

  2. 2026-06-18Visit· R&D LeadMia Liu

    RightSize Mailer-S8 qualification review — customer wants Line Trial data before next window.

    RMB 35M/yr hinges on this qualification

  3. 2026-06-08Visit· Purchasing HeadGrace Wang

    Presented VMI joint-inventory proposal; customer interested, wants draft this month.

  4. 2026-06-03Email· Category BuyerMia Liu

    Shared quarterly ASP benchmark; flagged price-down expectation for next cycle.

Account Engagement Risk Board

Owner Grace Wang · cadence & signals

Last contact
2d ago
Activities (mo)
4
Open commitments
1
Exec coverage
Yes
  • Open commitment: Open commitment — VMI draft due — from Visit on 2026-06-08
  • Sentiment signal: RMB 35M/yr hinges on this qualification